Wednesday, June 15, 2016

उत्तर प्रदेश के मुख्यमंत्री के लिए मोदी ही भाजपा के सबसे खरे उम्मीदवार क्यों हैं?

उत्तर प्रदेश के आगामी विधानसभा चुनाव में भाजपा के मुख्यमंत्री पद के उम्मीदवार कौन हो सकता है - इस बारे में कई अटकलें लगायी जा रही हैं। उधर इलाहाबाद में 13 जून को संपन्न राष्ट्रीय कार्यकारिणी की बैठक में भी उत्तर प्रदेश के मुख्यमंत्री पद के उम्मीदवार के मुद्दा शामिल नहीं हुआ।

कुछ राजनीतिक विशेषकों का तर्क है कि क्या पार्टी का चुनावों से पहले मुख्यमंत्री पद का उम्मीदवार घोषित करना  आवश्यक है। दूसरे विश्लेषकों के अनुसार मुख्यमंत्री पर निर्णय नहीं लेने से इस महत्वपूर्ण चुनाव में भाजपा की जीत की थोड़ी बहुत संभावना भी ख़त्म हो जाती है।

रक्षा मंत्री मनोहर पर्रिकर ने 11 जून को गाजियाबाद में एक संवाददाता सम्मेलन में दावा किया कि भाजपा जल्द ही उत्तर प्रदेश विधानसभा चुनाव के लिए अपने मुख्यमंत्री पद के उम्मीदवार की घोषणा करेगी।

राजनीतिक पंडितों और जमीनी चर्चा से स्पष्ट है कि मौजूदा स्थिति  में, 2017 के आरम्भ में होने वाले इस चुनाव में,  बहुजन समाज पार्टी  और समाजवादी पार्टी के बाद, भाजपा के तीसरे नंबर पर आने की ही सम्भावना है।

सोशल मीडिया पर हुयी चर्चा में मैंने यह सुझाव रख की सच्चाई से सांझा करते हुए, राष्ट्र के व्यापक हित में भाजपा नरेंद्र मोदी को मुख्य मंत्री उम्मीदवार की घोषणा करे तो कई लोगों ने इस पर आश्चर्य जताया।

राजनीतिक रूढ़िवादी एक निवर्तमान प्रधानमंत्री को एक राज्य चुनाव में मुख्यमंत्री पद के उम्मीदवार के रूप में "डिमोशन" के विचार पर ठिठक सकते हैं।



गौर से देखें, तो उत्तर प्रदेश (पूर्व में ब्रिटिश राज के तहत संयुक्त प्रांत कहा जाता है) अपने आप में विश्व के बड़े स्वायत्त राज्यों में आता है. इसकी आबादी संयुक्त राज्य अमेरिका की आबादी का लगभग दो-तिहाई है, जबकि  केवल 1 / भूभाग की 40 वीं है। संयोगवश, इस साल के अंत में अमेरिका में भी राष्ट्रपति चुनाव होने हैं.

भारत के 
राष्ट्रीय दृष्टिकोण से, इन दोनों चुनावों का दिल्ली में केंद्र सरकार की नीति दिशा पर जबरदस्त असर पड़ेगा।

पिछले चौदह वर्षों में बसपा और सपा की सरकारों द्वारा कुव्यवस्था और कुशासन से  राज्य गहरे संकट में है । मथुरा के हाल की विचित्र घटना, जहां 24 अन्य लोगों के साथ पुलिस अधीक्षक मारे गए थे, इस बात का सूचक है कि राज्य उबाल पर है। भूमि हथियाने और छिटपुट हिंसा में लगे हुए, जिस पंथ ने इस  दिया ,उसे सत्तारूढ़ पार्टी के राजनीतिक आकाओं का शह हासिल है।

मान्य है कि मोदी के इस नए भूमिका से  राजनीतिक उथल-पुथल और यहां तक ​​कि संवैधानिक विषमता का सवाल उठ सकता है। यह विदित है कि नरेंद्र मोदी प्रधानमंत्री के उच्च्तम पद पर आसीन हैं।

कई सवाल उठते हैं जिनमें से दो मुख्य सवाल हैं - पहला कि भाजपा एक आसीन प्रधानमंत्री को अनेक अनिश्चितताओं से भरे एक राज्य के चुनाव के लिए त्याग क्यों करे? और उतना ही महत्वपूर्ण दूसरा सवाल: आखिर मोदी स्वयं ऐसा क्यों करें?

भाजपा के लिए एक मास्टरस्ट्रोक

जमीनी हालात पर एक करीबी, गहरी और निष्पक्ष नजरिये से और एक व्यापक राष्ट्रीय और वैश्विक परिप्रेक्ष्य में देखें तो "पहले राष्ट्र, फिर पार्टी और आखिरी स्व' के विचार को समर्पित भारतीय जनता पार्टी लिए यह एक मास्टरस्ट्रोक हो सकता है। यह भाजपा के वंशवादी राजनीति और व्यक्तिगत महिमामंडन से ऊपर पार्टी-विथ-अ-डिफरेंस की छवि को भी पुष्ट करता है।

पार्टी के लिए, उत्तर प्रदेश के चुनावी समीकरण  में मोदी एक ऐसे व्यक्तित्व हैं जो सभी संभावित उम्मीदवारों और उनके मुखर समर्थकों को जोड़ सके और जो पार्टी के कार्यकर्ताओं का मनोबल मजबूत करने और उन्हें इस कठिन चुनौती का सामना करने का जोश भर सके। ऐसी स्थिति में ही भाजपा इस महत्वपूर्ण चुनाव में अपने ताकतवर प्रतिद्वंद्वियों को पछाड़ने की सोच सकती है. 

इसके साथ साथ, मोदी वाराणसी से सांसद हैं और उन्होंने अपनी दूसरी सीट वड़ोदरा जो उनके घरेलु राज्य गुजरात में है, उसकी अपेक्षा उत्तर प्रदेश को चुना। लोकसभा चुनाव में उनकी अद्भुत जीत के बाद, उसके बाद में स्थानीय चुनावों में भाजपा काफी जमीन खो चुकी है

जनता को उम्मीद है कि लोक सभा चुनाव में किये गए बड़े वादों पर मोदी खरे उतरें. गंगा की सफाई और इस ऐतिहासिक शहर को गन्दगी से मुक्त कर इसका गौरव पुनः स्थापित करने के वादों पर भी टकटकी लगी है। 2017 के शुरुआत में होने वाला यह चुनाव, केंद्र सरकार की मध्यावधि होगी जब मोदी के "अच्छे दिन " वादों की अधिक बारीकी से छानबीन और कडा आकलन जोर पकड़ने लगेगा। ऐसे में यदि मोदी का अधिकतर समय और ध्यान उत्तर प्रदेश चुनावों पर लगने वाला है, दूरगामी दृष्टि से पार्टी के लिए अच्छा है कि मोदी पूरी तरह, बतौर मुख्यमंत्री उम्मीदवार, प्रदेश का कमान सम्हाले और पार्टी केंद्र सरकार के नेतृत्व पर गम्भीरता से विचार करे.

इतिहास की पैनी निगाह से देखें तो मोदी की स्थिति कई मायनों में विंस्टन चर्चिल की तरह है. चुनावी जंग में अपना पूरा दमखम लगाने और हर दांव-पेंच से भारी जीत हासिल करने के बाद, चर्चिल की तरह, मोदी दिशाहीन और उद्देश्यहीन हो चुके हैं. ऐसे में चुनावी सेनापति की भूमिका में उनके ऊर्जा और कौशल का उपयोग करना राष्ट्र और पार्टी के व्यापक हिट में है. 

मोदी आखिर ऐसा क्यों करें?

पार्टी के एक अनुशासित सिपाही के रूप में, मोदी इस बात से वाकिफ है कि उनकी कार्यशैली से पहले ही पार्टी के कई वरिष्ठ और प्रभावशाली नेता नाखुश है। मोदी राष्ट्रीय स्वयंसेवक संघ के प्रचारक रह चुके हैं, जो दूसरों की तुलना में, राष्ट्रीय हित के लिए व्यक्तिगत बलिदान को अधिक महत्व देता आया है।

उत्तर प्रदेश भारत का सबसे बड़ा राज्य है और राष्ट्रीय राजनीति का एक महत्वपूर्ण पैमाना है। देश के अधिकांश प्रधानमंत्री इस राज्य से रहे हैं और यही कारण है कि मोदी ने यहां से चुनाव लड़ने का निर्णय किया।

उत्तर प्रदेश में मुस्लिम समुदाय की एक बड़ी आबादी है और इस तक पहुँचने के मोदी के लगातार प्रयास के लिए और 2002 के गुजरात दंगों में हुई भूल-चूक अथवा जान-बूझ कर किये गए अपने पापों का अग्नि  परीक्षण साबित होगा।



इस तरह, पवित्र लेकिन मैली गंगा में डुबकी के साथ, उत्तर प्रदेश की धूमिल और मैली राजनीतिक सरोवर में डुबकी लगाना मोदी के लिए विरेचक साबित होगा।

मोदी को जिन बातों की सबसे अधिक परवाह है , उस को ध्यान में रखते हुए,  उत्तर प्रदेश में भाजपा का एक शांतिपूर्ण और सामंजस्यपूर्ण चुनाव अभियान का नेतृत्व, सहायक होगा - चाहे वहफिर से प्रधानमंत्री बनना चाहें या विश्व नेता का सम्मान पाना चाहें। 

मोदी ने बड़े सलीके और कड़ी मेहनत से विजयशील चुनाव प्रचारक के रूप में खुद को तैनात किया है। उत्तर प्रदेश में जनसैलाब उन्हें देखने और सुनने का इंतजार कर रही है। इलाहाबाद में हाल की राष्ट्रीय कार्यकारिणी की बैठक में भी मोदी, मोदी, मोदी की गूँज सुनाई दी.

बड़ी तस्वीर   

राजनीतिक अवसरवाद और "हर कीमत पर जीत" के मूलमंत्र के इस दौर में सत्य हताहत है। हमें इस बात का अहसास है कि हमें इसकी भारी कीमत चुकानी पद रही है. समाज में असमानता बढ़ी है और आने वाली पीढ़ियों के हिस्से के संसाधनों को हड़पने की होड़ बढ़ी है. विचारशील और प्रबुद्ध वयस्क, युवा और बच्चे भी इस बात से सतर्क हैं कि लालच और त्वरित संतुष्टि की संस्कृति से उनके भविष्य को खतरे में डाला जा रहा है।

भाजपा और मोदी, दोनों को पता है कि जिस प्रोपेगंडा मशीन की सहायता से उन्हें चुनावी जीत हासिल हुयी. उसके आकाओं और विपक्ष के द्वारा  उसका इस्तेमाल उनके खिलाफ भी किया जा सकता है।

प्रवासी भारतीय समुदाय में जिन्हें सही मायने में अपने मूल देश से प्रेम है, उन्हें यह प्रतीत हो चुका है कि दुनिया में वाहवाही लूटने के अपनी चाह में, अनेक द्विपक्षीय और बहुपक्षीय मुद्दों पर मोदी बहुत दूर अधिक झुके हैं और शायद अनजाने में वे मूर्ख बनकर देश का नुकसान कर रहे हैं. 

उन्हें "संदेह का लाभ" देते हुए यह माना जा सकता है कि अपने इको चैम्बर्स के भीतर से बहुत सारी बातें उनके पल्ले नहीं पड़ रही है. उदाहरण के लिए, "मेक इन इंडिया" से भारत के लोगों को कोई फ़ायदा है भी या नहीं, इसकी मोदी को गहराई में कोई जानकारी नहीं है। अभी हाल में ही संयुक्त राज्य अमेरिका से उच्च लागत पर खरीदे गए ३५ साल पुराने जंक ग्रेड परमाणु प्रौद्योगिकी का सौदा, वैश्विक स्तर पर उनकी राजनैतिक नासमझी को उजागर करता है।

घरेलू स्तर पर, "अच्छे दिन" का वादा अब ढीला पड़ रहा है और कई राज्य में हुए चुनावों में भाजपा की हार से यह संकेत मिलता है कि सही समय में सचेत न होने से अगले लोकसभा चुनाव तक यह पार्टी पर उलटवार साबित हो सकता है।

राजनीतिक विचारक सहमत होंगे कि जैसे गतिशील राजनीतिक परिवेश की परतें खुलती जाती हैं,  २०१७ के उत्तर प्रदेश चुनाव में जीत या हार, अगले लोक सभा चुनाव में भाजपा के परिणाम को डिब्बाबंद कर सकती है, और विशेषकर मोदी के।

मोदी के लिए उद्धार का रास्ता "गिर कर जीतने" के उनके कौशल पर निर्भर करता है, पर "अबकी बार, सबका हित हो साकार"। जिन मोदी पर देश को इतना भरोसा है, उनकी भी ऐसी ही मनोकामना होगी, आप भी सहमत होंगे. 

लेखक के विषय में : चन्द्र विकास (४४) राजनैतिक और सामाजिक समीक्षक हैं और समुचित एवं संतुलित संस्थान के अध्यक्ष हैं.  ईमेल : cvikash@yahoo.com fb: Chandra Vikash t: @cvikash

Monday, June 13, 2016

The most winnable CM candidate for BJP in Uttar Pradesh No One is talking about!

Speculation is rife over who could be the CM candidate for BJP in the forthcoming assembly elections in the state of Uttar Pradesh. Media reports on the National Executive meet of the Party in Allahabad that concluded on Monday 13th June suggest that the UP chief ministerial candidate issue is not likely to figure in the 2-day meet. Sources further confirm that the party will not have any discussion regarding projection of Uttar Pradesh chief ministerial candidate in this high-level meet. 

Some political commentators have argued whether the party should project a CM candidate before elections. Others have questioned the lingering confusion in deciding on the CM could 
cost the Party whatever chance it has of winning this crucial election. Manohar Parrikar, the defence minister, at a press conference in Ghaziabad on Saturday 11th June asserted that BJP will soon project its chief ministerial candidate for Uttar Pradesh Assembly elections.

Overwhelming political opinion and empirical evidence suggests that this is perhaps the only way the BJP has even a reasonable chance of winning this crucial election. Political pundits and the buzz from the grassroots suggests that as of now, the party is likely to be routed into a distant third after Bahujan Samaj Party led by Mayawati and incumbent Samajwadi Party led by Mulayam Singh Yadav.

A number of people were amused when I suggested that in the larger interest of the truth, for the nation and for the party he represents, BJP should project Narendra Modi to be the CM candidate for Uttar Pradesh. The political orthodoxy might simply baulk at the very notion of "demoting" an incumbent Prime Minister to be pitted as the CM candidate in a state election.

To put this in perspective, the state of Uttar Pradesh (formerly called United Provinces under British Raj) has about 2/3rd of the population of United States of America but only 1/40th of the landmass. From a national viewpoint, both these elections will have tremendous impact on the policy direction for the Central Government in Delhi.

The state is in deep turmoil and has been grossly mismanaged by successive governments of BSP and SP. The bizarre incident in Mathura, where the Superintendent of Police along with 24 other people were killed, is just a pointer to how the state is on the boil. The cult which engaged in land grabbing and sporadic violence had the blessings of the political shenanigans of the ruling party.

Agreed that the re-positioning of Modi may lead to some kind of political upheaval and even constitutional incongruity. After all, Narendra Modi sits on the Prime Minister's chair. It does raise a number of questions. - Why should the Party sacrifice a sitting Prime Minister for the glorious uncertainties of a state election? and equally important - What is in it for Modi personally?

A Master Stroke for BJP

A close, deep and dispassionate look at the ground situation as well as the larger national and global perspective reveals that this could perhaps be a master stroke for a party that puts "Nation First, Party Second and Self Last". It also fits the bill of BJP as a Party-with-a- difference that is above dynastic politics and personal glorification. 

For the Party, Modi is perhaps the only one who would be acceptable to all prospective candidates and their vocal supporters and who can at the same time invigorate the rank and file of the BJP to surge past its mighty rivals. He towers over the otherwise long list of aspirants to this post in this large and politically charged state.

On top of it, Modi is also a member of parliament from Varanasi, where after his astounding victory in the Lok Sabha elections, the BJP has lost considerable ground in local elections. People look up to him to live up to the tall promises he made of cleaning up the Ganga and to get rid the historical city of its filth and squalor and regain its pride of place. The elections at the beginning of 2017 will be midway for the Centre when Modi's promises of "achhe din" will begin to be even more closely scrutinised.

What is in it for Modi?

As a disciplined soldier of the Party, Modi perhaps realises that he has already ruffled too many feathers and upset many respected and powerful leaders in the Party. He emerges from the RSS cadre, which more than others, has sought to emphasize personal sacrifices for the larger national interest.

Uttar Pradesh is the largest state of India and a barometer of national politics. Most Prime Ministers' of the country have hailed from this state and the reason why Modi chose to contest elections from the state and to retain the seat giving up the other seat he won in Vadodara in his home state of Gujarat. It has a significant Muslim population and will prove to be a litmus test for Modi's repeated attempts to reach out to the community and to wash away his sins of omissions and commissions in the 2002 Gujarat riots. In this way, as much as dip in the holy but turbid Ganga, taking the plunge into the murky and turbid political waters of Uttar Pradesh, will prove to be cathartic for Modi. Of all things that he cares, leading a peaceful and harmonious election campaign for the BJP in Uttar Pradesh will uplift Modi's stature globally for a later attempt to regain his seat as the Prime Minister and as a truly respectable global leader.

Modi has craftily positioned himself as the winning election campaigner. The crowds in Uttar Pradesh are waiting to see and hear him. Chants of
Modi, Modi, Modi rented the air as usual in the National Executive meeting in Allahabad. He should find himself on a comfortable wicket and with the right kind of issues and promises, and riding the anti-incumbency, Modi should cruise safely to the victory podium.



The Bigger Picture - For the sake of Truth

Truth has been the biggest casualty of political opportunism and the credo of "winning at all costs". We realise that the cost has been too heavy and vastly disproportionate to the rewards with rising inequality and the danger of "eating into the future", as thoughtful elders, youth and even children are increasingly wary and restless about their future being put to danger by the culture of greed and instant gratification.

Both BJP and Modi know that the propaganda machine that brought them to power can be used against them to ooze out more bleeding pounds of flesh by global masters as well as by their opponents. The NRI community, the truly patriotic amongst them has already got a whiff that Modi may be bending too far and has been fooled into inadvertently selling out the country on several bilateral and multilateral issues. To give him the "benefit of doubt" he may not even understand from within his echo chambers, the deeper import of how for instance "Make in India" truly benefits the people of India. The buy in for high cost of junk-grade nuclear technology from the United States exposes similar political naivete at the global stage.

Domestically, the promise of "achhe din" is wearing thin and successive state elections point out that it will boomerang on the party's fortunes in the next Lok Sabha elections. Many savvy political thinkers might concur that in the unfolding political dynamics, winning or losing the Uttar Pradesh may seal the fate for BJP for the next Lok Sabha elections and most certainly for Modi himself.


Modi’s only chance of redemption may rest on his ability to “stoop and conquer", this time for the larger good.

Monday, March 14, 2016

Social Media as Theatre: A Case Study in Bigotry and Why RSS must go for the larger gud of the Hindus

Social Media as Theater:

A Case Study in Bigotry and Why it is far more difficult to disrobe than colonial-era Khaki shorts and why RSS should dissolve itself in the best interest of the Eternal and Indigenous Hindus it proclaims to protect and serve

(Based on social media theatre of real characters in March, 2016)

Opening Scene

Rajiv Verma: Thanks to the campaign launched by my good friend Sai Arjun, the RSS has finally relented and changed its colonial era uniform (read khaki shorts) with a post-colonial one. Kudos to Sai !!!

Sahana Singh:  Wish it had not taken this long!

Stephanie Celeste Chateau: Arjun is a true hero

Shonan Talpade: Campaign by whom ? ...this proposal was in the offing since at least 2 years now by Suresh Bhaiyyaji Joshi -the RSS general secretary.


Scene I

Aparna Krishnan:  Why not indian dress ? pyjamas ? dhoti ? Sad to see one more group succumb to western codes.

Shonan Talpade:  pyjamas and dhoti are not practical.

Aparna Krishnan:  well, sarees are ! so these too are !

Chandra Vikash:  I decided to wear dhoti but my practical wife and right in her way, felt it would look odd when every Tom, Dick and Harry is wearing pants these days.

If RSS wasn't intellectually bankrupt and suffered from the deep-seated inferiority complex bordering on paranoia and truly cared about Hindu, we would all be wearing dhoti and learn to carry it with aplomb.

Rajiv Varma: Dhoti actually looks better than pants or half-pants anyday.  And of course the saree is the most attractive outfit designed by the human mind.

Chandra Vikash: Rajiv ji, every attire is embedded in its context. Modern frenzied city is so antagonistic to graceful dhoti and saree. Due credit to womenfolk like Sahana Singh ji who still do.
Dhoti looks so graceful on elderly people who carry the context. I realised it wasn't worth displeasing your wife? Wonder what is धर्म on this, that which upholds?

Shonan Talpade: Chandra vikash ji ...Dhoti was not used for national attire of RSS because , in the south , Dhoti is not so prevalent --not at all, in fact its the lungi..and since RSS is a national organisation, they couldnt impose the north Indian dhoti on our south indian brothers.
also, the dhoti would be impractical for relief work or wading through floods etc.

Rajiv Varma: Chandra Vikash ji: >>> "... Dhoti looks so graceful on elderly people who carry the context. Wonder what is धर्म on this, that which upholds? ..." <<<
Attire is not a Dharmic issue. A woman in Bikini is fully capable of upholding Dharma, as well as one in Saree or Ghaghra. Ditto with a man in shorts or pants or dhoti. This is a matter of personal taste and convenience. Also, men should not comment on women's choice of dresses. Whatever they wear always looks good.





Aparna Krishnan: The culture of a country in anchored in details of clothing, language etc. To respect one's culture is to respect and own up these.

Chandra Vikash: I find the bikini as graceful as the saree for those who can carry it with grace and aplomb. Both have common feature of sunlight to be absorbed in mid-rib and not suffocating the highly energised lower chakra and thus enabling the energy to flow upwards unlike the burqah or tight jeans. The big drawback with bikini is having to wax frequently to cater to modern taste and sensibilities. All 3 over time impact on the nature of the offspring.
To each, their own. :)

Ravindra Singh Basera Dev:  Dhoti weared in d style of hardy soldiers of native armies is practical for all d tasks that RSS does....it is about colonial modernity and ingrained inferiority complex.

Chandra Vikash: Everything under the sun and above is धार्मिक issue, that which upholds. 

Shonan Talpade: Ravindra Singh Basera Dev But south Indian men never had the tradition of wearing dhoti.

Rajiv Varma Ravindra ji: >>> "... Dhoti weared in d style of hardy soldiers of native armies is practical for all d tasks that RSS does....it is about colonial modernity and ingrained inferiority complex ..." <<<
Very true!. Dhoti will never come in the way of doing any task. It is nothing but inferiority complex that somehow assumes dhoti as hindrance to do any task.




Aparna Krishnan: Shonan Talpade Tamil men wear dhoti even today. Tamil politicians wear only white dhoti. We call it veshti.

Shonan Talpade: Aparna Krishnan also there is a sikh body of the RSS called the Rashtriya Sikh Sangat. ,Sikhs don't wear dhoti traditionally, so that's also the point to consider .

Aparna Krishnan: i dont care. these are waste of time discussions. if you want you change. thats all.

Shonan Talpade: That's fine if you do not care, but you should know the facts about this topic.

Scene II

Chandra Vikash:  Shonan Talpade When people are saying inferiority complex and bordering on paranoia, we mean someone close to you. Could you be that tone-deaf? wink emoticon

Shonan Talpade: Yea Chandra Vikash.... ..since I've been in the RSS since 30 years --from the age of 7..I guess singing Namaste sada vatsale would have made me rather tone deaf. grin emoticon
anymore of your ad-hominems ? grin emoticon grin emoticon grin emoticon

Chandra Vikash: Precisely, loyalty steeped in bigotry is best suited for street dogs. Humans are designed to do better. wink emoticon

Shonan Talpade:  Ooh what percipient counselling !!!! ..I'm really moved...
Do let me sit at your feet ,O divine Guru ..and tell me more about loyalty,Bigotry and street dogs. grin emoticon

Chandra Vikash:  Bigotry is tough nuts and clings. Much more difficult to crack the code or than changing khaki shorts. Be sure what you ask for. smile emoticon

Shonan Talpade:  Just a moment.....(I'm getting the popcorn out of the microwave) .....Don't stop ,Please continue.

Chandra Vikash:  Microwave? Even the Russians stopped using them You seem to be inspired by the American Imperialists now. smile emoticonWould you like your Pepsi with 2% fresh from the farm juice as well? Will go well with your popcorn.

Shonan Talpade:  You suffer from great insights .It's positively fascinating.
P.S--are you a fruit orchard farmer ?

Chandra Vikash:  I'm a meditative observer of human and animal psychology. Is this what you would like to know?

Shonan Talpade:  Oh I see In other words, You want to say that you are a condescending nut-job who tries to pontificate on something outside his knowledge or field of expertise…when he most obviously shouldn’t ?

Moral: The bigot must have the last word. Else the debate never ends. Post-trauma care and rehabilitation is for later.

Epilogue

Ravi Om:  it is obvious that Shonan Talpade hates sai arjun, but as far as i know he was the one who started posting it about 2-3 years back.
anyway, its a welcome change but rss is still boring. they could have choosen a more indian outside, like a white kurta with saffron strips on shoulder. any still better than boy scouts attire.

Shonan Talpade:  ROFL Yes sure ,I hate your cousin brother Sai Arjun and maybe It was also your cousin brother who started a petition to make Narendra Modi the PM candidate and due to his petition on facebook, PM Modi got elected in 2014


***

Wednesday, March 9, 2016

The Hindu Identity, Dissolution of RSS and the Way Forward

Conversation with Shri Viren Shamaldas Doshi, CEO – Tribhuvandas Foundation, Health professional and intellectual

VSD: Hindu is a conglomerate of religions having certain value systems and in geopolitical context, though it essentially addresses all places, it is Bharat from where it addresses and thereby it has much more to do with Bharat...in my view...

CV: 1. Hindu as a cultural and geographical identity has NOTHING to do with one or conglomerate of "Religion" - which means tied to One Book and One Prophet and divides the world into believers and non-believers. Whoever concocted and accepted Hinduism-As-A-Religion made a grave mistake that led to the gruesome Partition and if we keep harping on it will lead to more to come.

VSD: Hindu thought has yet to find out ways to mitigate religions like Islam and Christianity as well as ideologies like Communism and Secularism etc. and the nation-states based such religions and such ideologies. That is the main challenge for Hindu thought. In my view it requires balancing of centralization and decentralization, it requires such a response wherein we have dynamic structures capable of dealing with outer challenges in different way while dealing internal challenges differently.
RSS has never defined Hindu as one book one prophet religion. At the most Hindu can be related to religions as all those religions which are tolerant and accommodating.

CV: 2. भारत is a विश्व गुरू that signifies the coming from darkness to light and a world civilization and is not confined to any landmass. However, the Indian sub-continent is the nucleus or नाभि of this world civilization.
3. Let us raise our level to atleast where we were before we surpass and the world tired and wornout of war and terrorism, strife and disharmony. We need to apply our बुद्धि and विवेक to comprehend that with so much of military arsenal all around, real power rests in soft power of आध्यात्म and संस्कृति।
4. In that case as their is no case to call Hinduism-As-A-Region unless we suffer from a deep-seated "me-too" inferiority complex.

VSD: Thanks for the points - I think blaming RSS is not explained. Regarding point 3 - अग्रत: चतुर्वेदा: पृष्टत: सशरं धनु: This explains Vedic thinking well, while we generally remain non-violent - being soft power is alright, being soft target is deplorable. We need comprehensive balanced approaches. 4. I do not find any evidence to substantiate inferiority complex theory, if at all, it was just an attempt to mitigate the onslaught.
Vedics related more powerfully with landmass as RSS does - not as mere subcontinent - but as motherland...and we used to call Earth too as Mother Earth...

CV: It's not blaming RSS but calling for its dissolution. It served its purpose but has become just what it fought against and is a dangerous threat to the Hindus, who it proclaims to protect. Mark my words. Sad and even shocking to its diehard adherents. Truth is such. And truth alone wins, as you well know.

VSD: Please state how one like this 'whatever-it-is' poor Hindu should deal with those who attack it out of divisive beliefs like believers and non-believers etc. in this age of tremendous destructive capacities..

CV: It's not blaming RSS but calling for its dissolution. It has served its purpose but has become just what it fought against and is a dangerous threat to the Hindus who it proclaims to protect. Sad and even shocking to diehard adherents but true. Truth is such and it alone wins as you well know. You dissolve RSS and i assure you we will wipe out Islamic and X-ian fundamentalism and all modern fads like capitalism and communism. 
Eternity is forever. धर्म unites.

VSD: Leave aside RSS, please respond how a Hindu should protect herself/himself as a Hindu from those who attack just for being a Hindu...I am asking out of anxiety as you seem to have the Mantra in this regard...

CV: We only lose to our fear. Reality however is that with so much of military arsenal all around we only need basic deterrence we already have and strategic alliances, where we are acutely failing b'coz of Modi ji's image. The irony is that he seems too terrified even to safeguard BJP/RSS/VHP workers, leave aside the country. And int'l media using his fear wants to denigrate and spread hatred against all Hindus.
Where a statesman of intelligence, wit and knowledge of geo-politics would wield soft power. But he is nowhere close to Atalji, PV Narsimha Rao or even Nehru.

VSD: Well, I do not prefer to be judgmental as well as sentimental...still you compel me to say you seem to have both the qualities in abundance...dear friend...try your best to protect your Hindu self...God bless you...

CV: हर हर महादेव। - To each, their own. I have said in good faith and wisdom. I can feel your pain and anger but that shouldn't smokescreen from seeing the reality. 
Gujarat has been a frontier state that has borne the brunt of rabid islamic terrorism. But the world has changed since and you can't look at it from a narrow lens.

VSD: I think we need to think out more precise ways of dealing with challenges we are facing as Hindus...oversimplification or blaming someone or some organization or certain thought process may not help I am afraid...let us put forth the way we want our people to work on rather than blaming others how-so-ever naive they may seem to us...
Gujarat is more practical - it generally does not beat around the bush
I know Gujarat form inside to considerable extent...leave it...focus on the way you have in mind...

CV: To each, their own. That's a good reason to focus on Gujarat. The Patel uprising needs local attention. I don't want to comment further but just as Pramod Mahajan's India Shining cost us 2004, no one wants Gujarat model to cost us 2019.

VSD: Please keep on enlightening us on your way of dealing with challenges...that would be really be of great help...
With very high regards...would be waiting more inputs from you..always..Thanks. :)


VSD: A Question for illuminating us - what was it that led to clear majority in 2014...
Pl do not say Rahul Gandhi and his coterie

CV: Anti-corruption movement that targeted Congress. Modi ji was the opportnistic rider pumped by money from you know where. I have gud regards for you but very poor of Modi ji. After seeing his pathetic leadership in near 2 years. Gujarat has much better talent. You know that. 

VSD: I almost expected this from you...well, what do you know about Narendra Modi? And RSS too? And about Vedas and Hindu thought? I would like to know this too. You may reply as and when you get time.


CV: I know from what he says and does. If he is so very different, someone should take the initiative to set up a meeting. I will be happy to be surprised and proven wrong.

Sunday, March 6, 2016

A Call to धर्म - Eternity is FOREVER

Political activism is lots of hard work. The path to truth and perfection is laden with real people with their whims and fancies, idiosies and idiosyncrasies and very few with merit and character in present times as much of the scum of the society has bubbled to the top of the political cauldron. Modi ji or Kejriwal ji or Rahul ji are no exception.

The recent events at JNU and the rabid and knee-jerk reaction of the government have already polarized the society endlessly and it's only a matter of time that The Commies and The Sanghis baying for each other's blood will push the country into bloody disintegration.
This is made worse by the official One Constitution and One Centralised Bank that gives them all the powers to rule over us and to declare us as "anti-national" if we were to dissent or to decide to form our own local, self-reliant village or city republics or स्वराज in a people-friendly federal structure, which the British colonialists called as Sedition or राजद्रोह. (As a measure of how hated and distasteful the current political establishment is, "feeling seditionist" and "anti-national" have already acquired a seductive appeal among trendsetters, as Bollywood diva Sonam Kapoor quipped only yesterday.)

From an Eternal standpoint of the native and indigenous people of every land like the Hindus in India, the lien to land and all the natural resources naturally belongs to the eternal people, de facto and de jure. By its very concocted design, modern institutions from modern religion to modern nation-states, capitalists and communists, political parties etc. are nothing more than instruments for rabid, pitiless and most ridiculously self-destructive immoral and illegitimate encroachments on the natural and inalienable rights of the local, native and indigenous people or आदिवासी.

You have every right and freedom to follow your modern faiths and co-exist or समाहित with the rest of us in peace, prosperity and harmony.

The fact of the matter is that the current political establishment don't have truth by their side, you and i know equally well that they have not only lost our respect, they and their cronies are bound to an ignonimous death or what is called proverbially as "कुत्ते की मौत" at fate's hands. They know this and they are shit-scared of it. They have no concern and capacity to deal with the fact that on several counts - looming climate catastrophe, food crisis, toxicity, diseases and birth defects, strife and disharmony, fundamentalism and terrorism - we are already in the eye of a Perfect Storm.

This is a call to धर्म रक्षा। How many of you are prepared to sacrifice petty pleasures of life to defend धर्म?
If you have any better ideas, questions or clarification, you are most welcome.

रंग दे बसंती।

It's time to put your best foot forward.





Vasant Utsav is ON - A Celebration of Strength, Vitality and Fertility

#EternityUnites #EternityRocks #EternityisAmritam

Wednesday, February 10, 2016

Why inter-linking of rivers is a threat to India’s national integration, besides being an unmitigated ecological and economic disaster


By Chandra Vikash

Rivers have been cradle of many a civilization around the world. In a landmark agreement in modern times of rampant ecological destruction, a river has been endowed with legal rights.  Over a hundred years of advocacy by the Whanganui iwi, an indigenous community with a long history of reliance on the river and its bountiful natural resources, bore fruit when the Whanganui River in New Zealand was accorded a legal voice. (1)
Back in India, where more than a hundred million of indigenous people rely on the River Ganga and many share a deep cultural bond with the river, the call for according it rights (2) go unheeded. It continues to bear the scourge of untreated sewage and industrial waste, and has been maimed and mutilated by numerous dams and barrages. The same fate hangs for several of other rivers which indigenous people rely on and has great cultural significance for them since ages.
Even as organizations that work to protect the rights of indigenous communities worldwide are celebrating the Whanganui River agreement as an affirmation of the inextricable relationship between indigenous communities and natural ecosystems, the continued apathy and disregard by the government in India spells gloom and doom for the Indian rivers.
The most devastating blow to India’s rivers is likely to come from the Indian River Linking Project or IRLP. This got the sanction of the Supreme Court of India, based on highly misleading claims of 1:54 multiples of cost to benefits, (3)  that set aside reservations of geologists, water experts, enviroment experts, grassroots activists and affected people.
In its judgement the Court said: “The NCAER report clearly opines that the interlinking of river projects will prove fruitful for the nation as a whole and would serve a greater purpose by allowing higher returns from the agricultural sector for the benefit of the entire economy. This would also result in providing varied benefits like control of floods, providing water to [the] drought-prone States, providing water to a larger part of agricultural land and even power generation. Besides … benefits to the country, it will help the countries like Nepal etc., uplifting India's international role. Importantly, they also point to a very important facet of interlinking of rivers, i.e., it may result in reduction of some diseases due to the supply of safe drinking water, and thus serve a greater purpose for humanity.” (4)
Indian River-linking Project – Boon or bane ?
This entire river linking project is divided into two components- The Himalayan Component and The Peninsular Component.
In the Himalayan Component, Ganga and Brahmaputra Rivers will be linked together. The northern component would consist of a series of dams built along the Ganga and Brahmaputra rivers in India, Nepal and Bhutan for the purposes of storage. Canals would be built to transfer surplus water from the eastern tributaries of the Ganga to the west. The Brahmaputra and its tributaries would be linked with the Ganga and the Ganga with the Mahanadi river.
In the southern Peninsular River Development component four phases are planned. First, the Mahanadi, Godavari, Krishna and Kaveri rivers would all be linked by canals. Extra water storage dams would be built along the course of these rivers. The purpose of this would be to transfer surplus water from the Mahanadi and Godavari rivers to the south of India. 
Second, those rivers that flow west to the north of Mumbai and the south of Tapi would be linked. (5) There is also a proposal for a 2640 kilometer long link between the Ganges and Kaveri rivers that was first foated in 1972 by the then Minister for Irrigation K. L. Rao.
This program is estimated to cost a hefty INR 8,64,500 crores.
The change in elevation (a minimum of 100 m, generally increases towards the south) from the plains of northern India to the Vindhya and Satpura ranges and the Deccan Plateau beyond them, pose a major challenge to the project; as the water would have to travel upwards in order to reach Maharashtra and southern India. The average water lift to cross the Vindhya mountains is 500 meters which needs 162 billion units of electricity (20% of total India's electricity consumption in the year 2012) to pump 100 billion cubic meters (bcm) in a year. (5)
There are several other concerns regarding technical difficulties of creating water storage in the Gangetic plains, failure to factor in impact of climate change, as well as failure to exlpore alternatives of water conservation.
The “first-ever river linking project of the country” linking the Shipra and Narmada rivers, which was inaugurated recently is already showing how divisive and counter-productive the river linking program can be, even within a state on a very small scale.
About 5 cusecs of water has been lifted from the Onkareshwar dam on Narmada river and is pipelined to Shipra river. The environmental guidelines have been bypassed for this project by exploiting a loophole for drinking water supply to cities, villages even as lots of this water is to be diverted for industrial use. Some water that will reach the highly polluted Shipra River will hardly be useful. This will involve  lifting Narmada water to 350 metres to Kshipra. The drinking water supply will cost many times more than current charges. Moreover, this water which was earlier meant for Nimar region is being diverted to the Malwa region. (6) This creates the potential for divisiveness within the state. Similar issues mar another river diversion project in the state of Karnataka on the Nethravathi river. (7)
Himanshu Thakkar, Co-ordinator of the South Asian network of Dams, Rivers and People rips apart the empty claims made by the Madhya Pradesh Government. He cites how other alternatives have been overlooked in the process. He cites the precedence set by the Bhagirath Krishak Abhiyan in the Malwa region.
"The Bhagirath Krishak Abhiyan work was simple: Create farm ponds in Dewas district villages in Malwa that will harvest rainwater and provide source for groundwater recharge, irrigation and drinking water. The scheme started on a slow note, but has picked up over the years and has led to construction of over 4500 ponds, recharging groundwater, increasing water and food security and making the people so confident that they say they will never have water shortage. The biodiversity in the area has increased, with lots of birds and some wild animals too coming to the area. While there could be some questions about the claims of the district collector and other government officials, there is little doubt that if such works are implemented with honesty and participation, they can bring significant change.” (6)
Sahana Singh, international water expert, in an email response, points out the controversy surrounding a similar dragonian river linking program in China. Look at what is happening in China, she says, with the South-North Water Diversion project. “Let's not forget that according to climate models, after a few decades, there will not be much water flowing in Indian rivers. Rainfall is going to become pretty erratic. Even today many canals are running empty and are silted up. Let's not build something huge and let it rot after a few decades.” She suggests more study of the climate models.
The South-North Water Diversion project, a $62 billion investment designed to channel water from southern China to the arid north through three canal systems has come under intense scrutiny because of its high cost, environmental impact and massive displacement of local population. (8)
The need to adapt with nature
“The simplistic concept of inter-linking of rivers to address water resources issues is a cause of great concern in the Ganges-Brahmaputra-Meghna (GBM) basins, avers Dr. Md. Khalequzzaman, Professor of Geology at Lock Haven University of Pennsylvania. According to him:
“The natural flow of rivers is essential for economic well-being of the people living in the watersheds and for diverse riverine ecosystems that exist in the basins.
Flooding of rivers is a natural process. Most rivers reach their bankfull stage once every 2 to 3 years. ..Slow-flowing flood-water on a floodplain performs very important functions – it deposits sediments and renews the fertility of croplands. Flood water looks murky, because it is loaded with sediments. ...In essence, the rivers are doing what they are supposed to do, but humans got in their way. Flooding of land is lot more desirable than not having floods. We need to get accustomed to this natural phenomenon, and plan our livelihood accordingly.”
Another important point that Dr. Khalequzzaman mentions is the role of sedimentation to maintain the natural gradient of the river basins and the sea level to keep the rising sea at bay, in a scenario of climate change that will increase sea levels. The frequency and intensity of flooding is also likely to rise in a warming world.
Therefore, he points out the devastating impact of the Indian River Linking Project on the natural balance of water flow and sedimentation process  and how it will inundate most of the coastal areas, destroying eco-systems including the mangrove forest and on agriculture, industry, navigation, fisheries etc. through salinity intrusion. The amount of sediments carried by all rivers in downstream Bangladesh has declined from 2 billion tons per year in the 1970s to 1 billion tons per year in recent years, which is insufficient to withstand the projected rise in sea-level. Apart from millions of habitats and livelihoods displaced, the Sundarban, the largest mangrove forest in the world and a world heritage site, will probably be further destroyed.
He instead recommends the need to share real-time data on river levels and flow conditions at various points along the rivers in the entire basin to better forecast flood stage. An integrated plan to manage water resources in various river basins in South Asia can help us achieve the goal, he says. (9)
Secondly, as Sahana points out, many of India's rivers are actually carrying nothing but sewage since the water from rivers has mostly been diverted to canals. According to her, if we control the water used by homes, factories and farms, there will be less sewage entering rivers and more storage space for real water coming from rains and snowmelt. "The spread of sediments is very important. Before anything we need models of how sediment-distribution will be impacted by any construction on rivers," she says.

Rights of Nature – A New Global Meme
In 2008, Ecuador became the first nation in the world to recognize the legal rights of its mountains, rivers, and land.
Frustrated by the exploitation of the Amazon and the Andes by multinational mining and oil corporations, delegates in Ecuador turned to the Pennsylvania-based Community Environmental Legal Defense Fund to help rewrite the country’s constitution. The delegates wanted to provide legal protection for Ecuador’s environment and its resources. The Legal Defense Fund helped them include a “Rights of Nature” framework in their constitution that allows people to sue on behalf of an ecosystem.
 “The recognition of the personhood of the Whanganui River represents a landmark moment in legal history,” Suzanne Benally, the Executive Director of Cultural Survival. “Nature cannot be seen solely as a resource to be owned, exploited and profited from; it is a living and sustaining force that needs to be honored, respected, and protected by all of us.” (1)
It is ironical that India and China, two countries with a long history of river basin civilization, are faltering (10), where the world is leaping forward. By according rights to the rivers and the river-basin eco-system, they can not only protect them, they can continue to reap benefits from their natural flow in a sensible manner and preserve these precious cultural heritage.
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Inbox: A Resource for Profit or Te Awa Tupua?
The natural resources in Aotearoa are often viewed through two different lenses: Maori and non-Maori. Honorable Peter Sharples, noted Maori academic and cabinet minister, describes these competing views best: “Holding a title to property, whether Crown or private, establishes a regime of rights—to capture, to exclude, to develop, to keep. Rangatiratanga (Maori sovereignty or absolute chieftainship) is asserted through the collective exercise of responsibilities— to protect, to conserve, to augment, and to enhance over time for the security of future generations. Both seek to increase value, but the question is, how do you value the resource? [By] the profit you can make? Or the taonga (treasure’s) contribution to the survival of the group?”
The answer, in this case, is the latter: the Whanganui River will be defined and governed by the Maori view of the river. Whanganui Iwi, the Indigenous people that possess rangatiratanga
over the Whanganui River, and the river itself will be considered a living, integrated whole, or Te Awa Tupua. This view encompasses more than chieftainship, however. As explained by the late Niko Tangaroa, a Maori elder, Whanganui Iwi have an interdependent relationship with the river: “The river and the land and its people are inseparable. And so if one is affected the other is affected also. The river is the heartbeat, the pulse of our people. . . . [If the river] dies, we die as a people. Ka mate te Awa, ka mate tatou te Iwi.” This unique relationship is not a concept that can be easily understood by non-Maori because its value exists outside of the profit
generating notions of property. (11)
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A threat to India’s National Integration
A remarkable insight on the indigenous culture and traditions of India comes from deeply knowledgeable local people who see this as a threat to India’s national integration.
They believe that India  was  never such a big country in the past. It had several kings who had their own flags and had their own currency. However , from Afghanistan to Burma, diverse regions of India shared a common socio-economic system and was called as Bharat Khand . These far apart and independant states shared a common bond of their relation to pilgrimages or teerths.  These teerths were for everyone . Every person would visit them in their lifetime. If there was any danger to these teerths, all kings would unite to protect it against outside invasion.
When it comes to inter-linking of rivers , they fear that it will destroy the sanctity of the teerths. That’s because the natural flow of the rivers have a special significance. Teerth exist at points where any river turns northwards, their usual flow being from North to South and from East to West. The river Ganga turns northwards in Varanasi. Or, teerths exist at the confluence of two or more rivers. Triveni at Prayag, Allahabad, is where two visible rivers – Ganga and Yamuna – meet with a third invisible river – Saraswati. With the inter-linking of rivers, these teerths will lose their cultural significance.
For  thousands of years, we have shared the bonds of this common cultural heritage . Why else would someone travel from deep south to Varanasi from where they would carry the sacred water of Ganga ? Or, someone from far north would travel to Rameswaram, from where they would carry sacred sand, they ask. The area around the teerth sthal had their own administration where no king could assert their rule.
Perhaps, the powerful cultural significance of these teerths emerged out of a deep understanding of the need to preserve the natural flow of these various rivers eco-systems that criss-cross the entire length and breadth of this geographical region. This not only showered economic bounty on the people over thousands of years, this was also pivotal for its national integration.
Linking them artificially for short-term exigencies will be like killing the goose that lays golden eggs. If at all, we need to adapt our habitats to the natural flow of these rivers and the periodic flooding and droughts, which incidentally are likely to be erratic in a warming world because of human interference with the natural environment.
The Maoris of New Zealand have won their long standing battle against short-term exigencies of economic growth and profit-making. Can the indigenous people of the Indian sub-continent succeed in guarding the rights of their rivers ?

References:
1. New Zealand's Whanganui River Gains A Legal Voice , 09/18/2012
2. The Ganga Rights Act: Recognizing the Rights of the Ganga River Basin
3. India’s first river-linking project: Bad science on a grand scale? Feb 8, 2014
4. Set up special panel on linking of rivers forthwith, Supreme Court tells Centre
5. Indian Rivers Inter-link
6. Hype vs Reality of Narmada Kshipra Pipeline Project February 24, 2014
7. Nethravati activists call for bandh on Monday February 27, 2014
8. Chinese Minister Speaks Out Against South-North Water Diversion Project 2/20/2014
9. The Indian River-linking Project: A Geologic, Ecological and Socio-economic Perspective by Dr. Md. Khalequzzaman, Professor of Geology at Lock Haven University of Pennsylvania.
10. More than 400 hydroelectric schemes are planned in the mountain region, which could be a disaster for the environment
11. I Am the River and the River is Me: The Implications of a River Receiving Personhood Status CSQ Issue: 36-4 Free, Prior, and Informed Consent (December 2012)


About the Author: Chandra Vikash (44) is a social activist and management consultant. His key interest is in sustainability and post-carbon future. He is alumnus of IIT Kharagpur and IIM Calcutta.